PitchMath
Segunda División · 2026

Almería 3–0 Leganés · Segunda División

3–0Pre-match analysis

Match at a glance

Almería won 3–0.

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: almería's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: almería's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Almería have a visible home split

weak

Almería's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Almería's recent record differs from the season

weak

Almería's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Almería show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Almería's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAlmería · Leganés11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAlmeríaLeganésBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against13.6 shots/match18.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Almería4-2-3-1
  1. Andrés FernándezG
  2. Marcos LunaD
  3. Leonardo LeloD
  4. Federico BoniniD
  5. ChumiD
  6. Sergio ArribasM
  7. Javier MuñozM
  8. Stefan DžodićM
  9. Léo BaptistãoF
  10. Brian CipengaF
  11. Miguel de la FuenteF
Leganés3-4-2-1
  1. Luca ZidaneG
  2. MarvelD
  3. Javi MonteroD
  4. Lalo AguilarD
  5. Naim GarcíaD
  6. Ismael GharbiD
  7. Yassine KechtaM
  8. Miguel AtienzaM
  9. Zico BuurmeesterF
  10. Patrick SokoF
  11. Álvaro MorataF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Almería
1Draws
0Leganés
Almería — Leganés · Segunda División2–1
Leganés — Almería · Segunda División0–3
Leganés — Almería · Segunda División2–2
Almería — Leganés · Segunda División1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Almería favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Leganés in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Almería8 matchesLeganés8 matches
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/80.75 goals/match
0.63 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.38 goals/match
11.7 shots/match ▲Shots7/811.1 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target7/83.75 shots/match
52.9% ●Possession7/845.4%
3.43 corners/match ●Corners7/83 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls7/814.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness8 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Segunda División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsAlmeríaLeganés
CompetitionSegunda División
Head-to-headAlmería — Leganés
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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