PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2026

Sporting Braga 1–3 Sporting · Primeira Liga

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sporting won 1–3.

Shots
159
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.50.95
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sporting beat Sporting Braga 3–1. Recorded in this match (Sporting Braga – Sporting): shots 15–9, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.5–0.95, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots9 shotsSporting Braga 15 shots, Sporting 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsSporting Braga 4 shots, Sporting 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.5 xG0.95 xGSporting Braga 1.5 xG, Sporting 0.95 xG
  • Possession49%51%Sporting Braga 49%, Sporting 51%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersSporting Braga 5 corners, Sporting 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsSporting Braga 11 fouls, Sporting 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardSporting Braga 1 card, Sporting 1 card
  • Passes439 passes462 passesSporting Braga 439 passes, Sporting 462 passes
  • Pass accuracy83.6%85.3%Sporting Braga 83.6%, Sporting 85.3%
  • Shots inside box11 shots7 shotsSporting Braga 11 shots, Sporting 7 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks0 blocksSporting Braga 6 blocks, Sporting 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save3 savesSporting Braga 1 save, Sporting 3 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesSporting Braga 0 offsides, Sporting 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 41′Rui SilvaGoal · Sporting
  2. Half-time
  3. 66′Luis Javier SuárezGoal · Sporting
  4. 71′Bernardo FontesGoal · Sporting Braga
  5. 82′Rodrigo ZalazarGoal · Sporting
  6. 89′Flávio GonçalvesYellow card · Sporting
  7. 89′Sergio BarciaYellow card · Sporting Braga
  8. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 58′Sporting · 2 player changesRodrigo Zalazar · Maximiliano Araújo
  • 59′Sporting · 1 player changeLuis Javier Suárez
  • 66′Sporting Braga · 1 player changeMario Dorgeles
  • 67′Sporting Braga · 1 player changeGabriel Martínez
  • 74′Sporting Braga · 2 player changesTomás Marqués · Jonas Wind
  • 79′Sporting · 1 player changeFlávio Gonçalves
  • 84′Sporting · 1 player changeJoão Simões
  • 84′Sporting Braga · 1 player changeFran Navarro

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Sporting Braga
  1. Bernardo FontesG
  2. Victor GómezD
  3. Vítor CarvalhoD
  4. Gabriel SilvaD
  5. Sergio BarciaD
  6. Adrian BajramiD
  7. João MoutinhoM
  8. Jean-Baptiste GorbyM
  9. Pau VíctorF
  10. Ricardo HortaF
  11. Denis HuseinbašićF
Sporting
  1. Rui SilvaG
  2. Georgios VagiannidisD
  3. Iván FresnedaD
  4. Gonçalo InácioD
  5. Eduardo QuaresmaD
  6. Silas AndersenM
  7. Sergi AltimiraM
  8. Issa DoumbiaM
  9. Fotis IoannidisF
  10. Geny CatamoF
  11. Nestory IrankundaF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Sporting Braga
3Draws
2Sporting
Sporting Braga — Sporting · Primeira Liga2–2
Sporting — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga1–1
Sporting — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga1–1
Sporting Braga — Sporting · Primeira Liga2–4
Sporting — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga5–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sporting Braga favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Sporting in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sporting Braga7 matchesSporting8 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/8▲ 2.5 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed7/81.13 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals7/8▲ 1.88 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots7/813 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on target7/8▲ 5.5 shots/match
58.3%Possession7/8● 59%
4.14 corners/matchCorners7/8● 4.63 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls7/811.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 23:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSporting BragaSporting
CompetitionPrimeira Liga
Head-to-headSporting Braga — Sporting
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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