PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2026

Moreirense 0–1 Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Gil Vicente won 0–1.

Shots
1213
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
1.091.49
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gil Vicente beat Moreirense 1–0. Recorded in this match (Moreirense – Gil Vicente): shots 12–13, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 1.09–1.49, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gil Vicente have a visible away split

weak

Gil Vicente's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match14 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Gil Vicente's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gil Vicente's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Moreirense show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Moreirense's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

7.88 shots/match ▲ShotsMoreirense · Gil Vicente14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMoreirenseGil VicenteBaseline
Shots7.88 shots/match14 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against15.3 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots13 shotsMoreirense 12 shots, Gil Vicente 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsMoreirense 2 shots, Gil Vicente 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.09 xG1.49 xGMoreirense 1.09 xG, Gil Vicente 1.49 xG
  • Possession38%62%Moreirense 38%, Gil Vicente 62%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersMoreirense 4 corners, Gil Vicente 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsMoreirense 12 fouls, Gil Vicente 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsMoreirense 3 cards, Gil Vicente 4 cards
  • Passes338 passes549 passesMoreirense 338 passes, Gil Vicente 549 passes
  • Pass accuracy77.5%85.4%Moreirense 77.5%, Gil Vicente 85.4%
  • Shots inside box7 shots7 shotsMoreirense 7 shots, Gil Vicente 7 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks7 blocksMoreirense 5 blocks, Gil Vicente 7 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves2 savesMoreirense 2 saves, Gil Vicente 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesMoreirense 0 offsides, Gil Vicente 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 17′Ricardo EsgaioYellow card · Gil Vicente
  2. Half-time
  3. 56′Andreas LausenYellow card · Gil Vicente
  4. 60′Manuel MendonçaYellow card · Moreirense
  5. 70′Gil MartinsYellow card · Gil Vicente
  6. 71′Mohamed Sanoussi KabaYellow card · Gil Vicente
  7. 75′Gilberto BatistaYellow card · Moreirense
  8. 88′MaracásYellow card · Moreirense
  9. 90′Walace dos Santos FrançaPenalty goal · Gil Vicente
  10. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 64′Gil Vicente · 1 player changeMohamed Sanoussi Kaba
  • 66′Moreirense · 2 player changesRodrigo Alonso · João Veloso
  • 72′Gil Vicente · 2 player changesGuilherme Gomes · Joelson Fernandes
  • 77′Moreirense · 1 player changeLanderson
  • 83′Gil Vicente · 2 player changesTidjany Touré · Walace dos Santos França
  • 86′Moreirense · 1 player changeYan Maranhão

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Moreirense
  1. André FerreiraG
  2. MaracásD
  3. KikoD
  4. Gilberto BatistaD
  5. Dinis PintoD
  6. Manuel MendonçaM
  7. Nile JohnM
  8. Guilherme LiberatoM
  9. Kiko BondosoF
  10. Tiago AndradeF
  11. Leonardo VonićF
Gil Vicente
  1. LucãoG
  2. Marvin Elimbi GilbertD
  3. Jonathan BuatuD
  4. David MoreiraD
  5. Ricardo EsgaioD
  6. Santi GarcíaM
  7. Andreas LausenM
  8. Diogo PriosteM
  9. Gil MartinsF
  10. Héctor HernándezF
  11. MuriloF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Moreirense
0Draws
3Gil Vicente
Moreirense — Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga1–2
Gil Vicente — Moreirense · Primeira Liga2–0
Gil Vicente — Moreirense · Primeira Liga0–1
Moreirense — Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga3–2
Moreirense — Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Moreirense favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Gil Vicente in 11 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Moreirense8 matchesGil Vicente7 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored8/70.86 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/7▲ 0.71 goals/match
0.73 xG/matchExpected goals8/7▲ 1.34 xG/match
7.88 shots/matchShots8/7▲ 14 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target8/7▲ 3.71 shots/match
36.1%Possession8/7● 54.4%
2.38 corners/matchCorners8/7● 3.57 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls8/713.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMoreirenseGil Vicente
CompetitionPrimeira Liga
Head-to-headMoreirense — Gil Vicente
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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