Primeira Liga · 2026

Moreirense vs Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.170.83
Expected goals
0.71.31
Shots
7.3314.2
Possession
36.2%53.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: moreirense's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: gil Vicente have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Moreirense show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Moreirense's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

7.33 shots/match ▲ShotsMoreirense · Gil Vicente14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMoreirenseGil VicenteBaseline
Shots7.33 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against15.7 shots/match9.83 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Moreirense have a visible home split

weak

Moreirense's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

8.67 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season7.33 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.67 shots/match7.33 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Gil Vicente have recorded the higher season possession share.

36.2%PossessionMoreirense · Gil Vicente● 53.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMoreirenseGil VicenteBaseline
Possession36.2%53.2%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Moreirense favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Gil Vicente in 11 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Moreirense6 matchesGil Vicente6 matches
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 0.83 goals/match
0.7 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.31 xG/match
7.33 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 14.2 shots/match
2.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 3.83 shots/match
36.2%Possession6/6● 53.2%
2.5 corners/matchCorners6/6● 3.67 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls6/613.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Moreirense
0Draws
3Gil Vicente
Moreirense — Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga1–2
Gil Vicente — Moreirense · Primeira Liga2–0
Gil Vicente — Moreirense · Primeira Liga0–1
Moreirense — Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga3–2
Moreirense — Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness25 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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