PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

RC Lens 2–1 Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 1

RC Lens

WLLDL
2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

RC Lens won 2–1.

Shots
1513
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.370.99
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

RC Lens beat Olympique Lyonnais 2–1. Recorded in this match (RC Lens – Olympique Lyonnais): shots 15–13, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.37–0.99, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RC Lens's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RC Lens's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.83 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Olympique Lyonnais have a visible away split

weak

Olympique Lyonnais's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.67 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.67 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots13 shotsRC Lens 15 shots, Olympique Lyonnais 13 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsRC Lens 7 shots, Olympique Lyonnais 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.37 xG0.99 xGRC Lens 1.37 xG, Olympique Lyonnais 0.99 xG
  • Possession48%52%RC Lens 48%, Olympique Lyonnais 52%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersRC Lens 7 corners, Olympique Lyonnais 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsRC Lens 13 fouls, Olympique Lyonnais 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardRC Lens 1 card, Olympique Lyonnais 1 card
  • Passes454 passes487 passesRC Lens 454 passes, Olympique Lyonnais 487 passes
  • Pass accuracy84.8%84.6%RC Lens 84.8%, Olympique Lyonnais 84.6%
  • Shots inside box12 shots9 shotsRC Lens 12 shots, Olympique Lyonnais 9 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block3 blocksRC Lens 1 block, Olympique Lyonnais 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves5 savesRC Lens 4 saves, Olympique Lyonnais 5 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideRC Lens 1 offside, Olympique Lyonnais 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 23′Abner ViníciusYellow card · Olympique Lyonnais
  2. 36′Florian SotocaGoal · RC Lens
  3. Half-time
  4. 50′Jonathan GraditYellow card · RC Lens
  5. 76′Matthieu UdolGoal · RC Lens
  6. 84′Matthieu UdolRed card · RC Lens
  7. 85′Khalis MerahGoal · Olympique Lyonnais
  8. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 53′RC Lens · 1 player changeSamson Baidoo
  • 54′RC Lens · 1 player changeAmadou Haidara
  • 60′Olympique Lyonnais · 2 player changesKeito Nakamura · Noah Nartey
  • 69′RC Lens · 2 player changesFranjo Ivanović · Junior Kadile
  • 71′Olympique Lyonnais · 1 player changeKaïl Boudache
  • 78′Olympique Lyonnais · 2 player changesKhalis Merah · Tanner Tessmann
  • 83′RC Lens · 1 player changeAndrija Bulatović

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

RC Lens3-4-2-1
  1. Robin RisserG
  2. Ruben AguilarD
  3. Matthieu UdolD
  4. Jonathan GraditD
  5. Ismaelo GaniouD
  6. Kyllian AntonioD
  7. Amadou HaidaraM
  8. Michaël CuisanceM
  9. Florian ThauvinF
  10. Odsonne ÉdouardF
  11. Franjo IvanovićF
Olympique Lyonnais4-2-3-1
  1. Dominik GreifG
  2. Zachary AthekameD
  3. Abner ViníciusD
  4. Felix BacherD
  5. Ruben KluivertD
  6. Mads BidstrupM
  7. Corentin TolissoM
  8. Tyler MortonM
  9. Ernest NuamahF
  10. Pavel ŠulcF
  11. Loïs OpendaF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2RC Lens
2Draws
1Olympique Lyonnais
Olympique Lyonnais — RC Lens · Ligue 10–4
Olympique Lyonnais — RC Lens · Coupe de France2–2
RC Lens — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 10–1
Olympique Lyonnais — RC Lens · Ligue 11–2
RC Lens — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Lens favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Olympique Lyonnais in 4 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Lens6 matchesOlympique Lyonnais6 matches
1.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/61.83 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 0.67 goals/match
2.01 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.63 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots6/613.3 shots/match
6.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/65 shots/match
50.8%Possession6/6● 52.2%
7 corners/match ●Corners6/64.83 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls6/611.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC LensOlympique Lyonnais
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headRC Lens — Olympique Lyonnais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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