Ligue 1 · 2026

Lille vs Le Havre · Ligue 1

Lille

WDWW
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.750.8
Expected goals
1.261.37
Shots
10.815.6
Possession
45%48.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: le Havre's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Le Havre show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Le Havre's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLille · Le Havre15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLilleLe HavreBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match15.6 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against17.5 shots/match14.4 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lille favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Le Havre in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lille4 matchesLe Havre5 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/50.8 goals/match
0.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/51.4 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals4/5▲ 1.37 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots4/5▲ 15.6 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/55 shots/match
45%Possession4/5● 48.4%
1.75 corners/matchCorners4/5● 5.6 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls4/514.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Lille
1Draws
1Le Havre
Lille — Le Havre · Ligue 11–1
Le Havre — Lille · Ligue 10–1
Lille — Le Havre · Ligue 11–2
Le Havre — Lille · Ligue 10–3
Lille — Le Havre · Ligue 13–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 5last-five windows
Freshness27 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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