PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Lille 1–0 Le Havre · Ligue 1

Lille

WDWWL
1–0Pre-match analysis

Match at a glance

Lille won 1–0.

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: le Havre's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second reading clears the same sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Le Havre show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Le Havre's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLille · Le Havre15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLilleLe HavreBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match15.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against16 shots/match14.4 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Lille4-2-3-1
  1. Berke ÖzerG
  2. Nathan NgoyD
  3. Alexsandro RibeiroD
  4. Romain PerraudD
  5. Tiago SantosD
  6. Nabil BentalebM
  7. Hakon Arnar HaraldssonM
  8. Benjamin AndréM
  9. Dilane BakwaF
  10. Ayase UedaF
  11. Başar ÖnalF
Le Havre3-4-2-1
  1. Gauthier GallonG
  2. Ahmed ToubaD
  3. Ayumu SekoD
  4. Djibril OuziadD
  5. Vincent SassoD
  6. Enzo KoffiD
  7. Amir RichardsonM
  8. Simon EbonogM
  9. Josh MajaF
  10. Ally SamattaF
  11. Rayan FofanaF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Lille
1Draws
1Le Havre
Lille — Le Havre · Ligue 11–1
Le Havre — Lille · Ligue 10–1
Lille — Le Havre · Ligue 11–2
Le Havre — Lille · Ligue 10–3
Lille — Le Havre · Ligue 13–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lille favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Le Havre in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lille5 matchesLe Havre5 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.37 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 15.6 shots/match
6.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/55 shots/match
47.8%Possession5/5● 48.4%
2.8 corners/matchCorners5/5● 5.6 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/514.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness21 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLilleLe Havre
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headLille — Le Havre
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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