PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Fluminense 4–0 Coritiba · Serie A

4–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Fluminense won 4–0.

Shots
228
Shots on target
100
Expected goals
1.761.51
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fluminense beat Coritiba 4–0. Recorded in this match (Fluminense – Coritiba): shots 22–8, shots on target 10–0, expected goals 1.76–1.51, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fluminense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fluminense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.74 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.74 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fluminense show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fluminense's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsFluminense · Coritiba11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFluminenseCoritibaBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match11 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match17.9 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Fluminense have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.9% ●PossessionFluminense · Coritiba39.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFluminenseCoritibaBaseline
Possession58.9%39.5%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots8 shotsFluminense 22 shots, Coritiba 8 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots0 shotsFluminense 10 shots, Coritiba 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.76 xG1.51 xGFluminense 1.76 xG, Coritiba 1.51 xG
  • Possession69%31%Fluminense 69%, Coritiba 31%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersFluminense 3 corners, Coritiba 2 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls8 foulsFluminense 9 fouls, Coritiba 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardFluminense 0 cards, Coritiba 1 card
  • Passes867 passes392 passesFluminense 867 passes, Coritiba 392 passes
  • Pass accuracy93.3%86.5%Fluminense 93.3%, Coritiba 86.5%
  • Shots inside box13 shots6 shotsFluminense 13 shots, Coritiba 6 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block2 blocksFluminense 1 block, Coritiba 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves6 savesFluminense 0 saves, Coritiba 6 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideFluminense 2 offsides, Coritiba 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fluminense
1Draws
2Coritiba
Coritiba — Fluminense · Serie A1–1
Fluminense — Coritiba · Serie A2–1
Coritiba — Fluminense · Serie A2–0
Fluminense — Coritiba · Serie A5–2
Coritiba — Fluminense · Serie A3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fluminense favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Coritiba in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fluminense27 matchesCoritiba27 matches
1.74 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.37 goals/match
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.7 goals/match
1.32 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/230.96 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots27/2711 shots/match
5.74 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/273.41 shots/match
58.9% ●Possession27/2739.5%
5.48 corners/match ●Corners27/273.67 corners/match
3.4 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls27/2710.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFluminenseCoritiba
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headFluminense — Coritiba
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required