PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Flamengo 2–0 Mirassol · Serie A

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Flamengo won 2–0.

Shots
148
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.750.49
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo beat Mirassol 2–0. Recorded in this match (Flamengo – Mirassol): shots 14–8, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.75–0.49, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Mirassol's recent record differs from the season

weak

Mirassol's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.05 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.05 goals/match1.32 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Mirassol have a visible away split

moderate

Mirassol's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots8 shotsFlamengo 14 shots, Mirassol 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsFlamengo 4 shots, Mirassol 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.75 xG0.49 xGFlamengo 1.75 xG, Mirassol 0.49 xG
  • Possession56%44%Flamengo 56%, Mirassol 44%
  • Corners9 corners7 cornersFlamengo 9 corners, Mirassol 7 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls11 foulsFlamengo 8 fouls, Mirassol 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsFlamengo 0 cards, Mirassol 2 cards
  • Passes634 passes483 passesFlamengo 634 passes, Mirassol 483 passes
  • Pass accuracy88%88.2%Flamengo 88%, Mirassol 88.2%
  • Shots inside box12 shots5 shotsFlamengo 12 shots, Mirassol 5 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks2 blocksFlamengo 4 blocks, Mirassol 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves2 savesFlamengo 2 saves, Mirassol 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides3 offsidesFlamengo 0 offsides, Mirassol 3 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Flamengo
1Draws
0Mirassol
Mirassol — Flamengo · Serie A1–5
Mirassol — Flamengo · Serie A3–3
Flamengo — Mirassol · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Flamengo favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Mirassol in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Flamengo19 matchesMirassol19 matches
1.95 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.05 goals/match
0.84 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.42 goals/match
1.49 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/160.99 xG/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots19/1913.6 shots/match
4.95 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/194.37 shots/match
55.2% ●Possession19/1950.7%
4.68 corners/matchCorners19/19● 5.74 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards3/33 cards/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 3 Sept 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFlamengoMirassol
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headFlamengo — Mirassol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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