Flamengo 3–0 Botafogo — Match Stats & Analysis

Serie A · 2026Sun, 30 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC

Flamengo

WWWWL

3–0Full-time analysis

Botafogo

WDDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Flamengo won 3–0.

Shots: 1814
Shots on target: 64
Expected goals: 1.880.72
Possession: 63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo beat Botafogo 3–0. Recorded in this match (Flamengo – Botafogo): shots 18–14, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.88–0.72, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	1.57 goals/match	1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Flamengo have a visible home split

moderate

Flamengo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	17.7 shots/match	15 shots/match	13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Flamengo have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.8% ●PossessionFlamengo · Botafogo47.5%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Flamengo	Botafogo	Baseline
Possession	55.8%	47.5%	49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

Shots18 shots14 shotsFlamengo 18 shots, Botafogo 14 shots
Shots on target6 shots4 shotsFlamengo 6 shots, Botafogo 4 shots
Expected goals1.88 xG0.72 xGFlamengo 1.88 xG, Botafogo 0.72 xG
Possession63%37%Flamengo 63%, Botafogo 37%
Corners5 corners3 cornersFlamengo 5 corners, Botafogo 3 corners
Fouls8 fouls9 foulsFlamengo 8 fouls, Botafogo 9 fouls
Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsFlamengo 0 cards, Botafogo 2 cards
Passes657 passes368 passesFlamengo 657 passes, Botafogo 368 passes
Pass accuracy89.8%84%Flamengo 89.8%, Botafogo 84%
Shots inside box11 shots9 shotsFlamengo 11 shots, Botafogo 9 shots
Blocked shots7 blocks5 blocksFlamengo 7 blocks, Botafogo 5 blocks
Goalkeeper saves4 saves3 savesFlamengo 4 saves, Botafogo 3 saves
Offsides3 offsides3 offsidesFlamengo 3 offsides, Botafogo 3 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Flamengo: 18 shots, 6 on target, 1.69 xG. Botafogo: 14 shots, 4 on target, 0.79 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Flamengo 1.69 xG · Botafogo 0.79 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Flamengo

1Draws

2Botafogo

14 Mar 2026Botafogo — Flamengo · Serie A0–3

15 Oct 2025Botafogo — Flamengo · Serie A0–3

18 May 2025Flamengo — Botafogo · Serie A0–0

18 Aug 2024Botafogo — Flamengo · Serie A4–1

28 Apr 2024Flamengo — Botafogo · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Flamengo favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Botafogo in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Flamengo22 matchesBotafogo23 matches

2.09 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/231.57 goals/match

0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/231.74 goals/match

1.51 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/201.37 xG/match

15 shots/matchShots22/2314.4 shots/match

5.14 shots/matchShots on target22/235.17 shots/match

55.8% ●Possession22/2347.5%

4.5 corners/matchCorners22/23● 4.52 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards3/53.2 cards/match

11.5 fouls/matchFouls22/2313.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready

Season samples22 / 23home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

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Match at a glance

What the match recorded