PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Juventude 1–0 Guarani · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventude won 1–0.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
0.850.23
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventude beat Guarani 1–0. Recorded in this match (Juventude – Guarani): shots 11–11, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 0.85–0.23, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Juventude.

3.03 days ▲Rest daysJuventude · Guarani4.9 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricJuventudeGuaraniBaseline
Rest days3.03 days4.9 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsJuventude 11 shots, Guarani 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsJuventude 7 shots, Guarani 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.85 xG0.23 xGJuventude 0.85 xG, Guarani 0.23 xG
  • Possession38%62%Juventude 38%, Guarani 62%
  • Corners6 corners11 cornersJuventude 6 corners, Guarani 11 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls8 foulsJuventude 11 fouls, Guarani 8 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventude favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Guarani in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventude4 matchesGuarani4 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 2 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 0.5 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.54 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots4/411.3 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 4.5 shots/match
54.8% ●Possession4/447.8%
6.5 corners/match ●Corners4/45 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls4/411.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 4 May 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJuventudeGuarani
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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