PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Botafogo-SP 0–3 Vitória · Serie B

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vitória won 0–3.

Shots
1419
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
0.581.66
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vitória beat Botafogo-SP 3–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo-SP – Vitória): shots 14–19, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 0.58–1.66, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Botafogo-SP.

3.1 days ▲Rest daysBotafogo-SP · Vitória7.1 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBotafogo-SPVitóriaBaseline
Rest days3.1 days7.1 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Botafogo-SP have a visible home split

weak

Botafogo-SP's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match12 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots19 shotsBotafogo-SP 14 shots, Vitória 19 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsBotafogo-SP 4 shots, Vitória 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.58 xG1.66 xGBotafogo-SP 0.58 xG, Vitória 1.66 xG
  • Possession55%45%Botafogo-SP 55%, Vitória 45%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersBotafogo-SP 9 corners, Vitória 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls7 foulsBotafogo-SP 10 fouls, Vitória 7 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Vitória in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP5 matchesVitória4 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored5/4▲ 2.75 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/4▲ 0 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals5/4▲ 1.91 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots5/4▲ 17 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/4▲ 5.75 shots/match
44.4%Possession5/4● 51%
7 corners/match ●Corners5/44.75 corners/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls5/49.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 May 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogo-SPVitória
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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