PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Guarani 2–0 Sampaio Correa · Serie B

Guarani

WWWLL
2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Guarani won 2–0.

Shots
817
Shots on target
27
Expected goals
0.691.95
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Guarani beat Sampaio Corrêa 2–0. Recorded in this match (Guarani – Sampaio Corrêa): shots 8–17, shots on target 2–7, expected goals 0.69–1.95, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sampaio Corrêa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sampaio Corrêa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Guarani show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Guarani's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsGuarani · Sampaio Corrêa15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGuaraniSampaio CorrêaBaseline
Shots10 shots/match15 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against17.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots17 shotsGuarani 8 shots, Sampaio Correa 17 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots7 shotsGuarani 2 shots, Sampaio Correa 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.69 xG1.95 xGGuarani 0.69 xG, Sampaio Correa 1.95 xG
  • Possession45%55%Guarani 45%, Sampaio Correa 55%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersGuarani 3 corners, Sampaio Correa 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsGuarani 11 fouls, Sampaio Correa 10 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Guarani favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Sampaio Correa in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Guarani6 matchesSampaio Correa6 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61 goal/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.67 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.75 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 15 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 4.83 shots/match
48%Possession6/6● 51.2%
4.5 corners/match ●Corners6/62.83 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls6/612 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 May 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGuaraniSampaio Correa
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required