PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Mirassol 2–0 Vitória · Serie B

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Mirassol won 2–0.

Shots
1712
Shots on target
103
Expected goals
1.680.28
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Mirassol beat Vitória 2–0. Recorded in this match (Mirassol – Vitória): shots 17–12, shots on target 10–3, expected goals 1.68–0.28, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Mirassol's recent record differs from the season

weak

Mirassol's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Vitória.

6.12 days ▲Rest daysMirassol · Vitória5.04 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMirassolVitóriaBaseline
Rest days6.12 days5.04 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots12 shotsMirassol 17 shots, Vitória 12 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots3 shotsMirassol 10 shots, Vitória 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.68 xG0.28 xGMirassol 1.68 xG, Vitória 0.28 xG
  • Possession57%43%Mirassol 57%, Vitória 43%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersMirassol 3 corners, Vitória 5 corners
  • Fouls26 fouls15 foulsMirassol 26 fouls, Vitória 15 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mirassol favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Vitória in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mirassol7 matchesVitória7 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 2.14 goals/match
0.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/70.71 goals/match
1.44 xG/matchExpected goals7/71.42 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots7/714.7 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/74.71 shots/match
55.3% ●Possession7/747.9%
4.86 corners/match ●Corners7/74.29 corners/match
20.7 fouls/matchFouls7/711.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 May 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMirassolVitória
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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