Serie B · 2023

Sport Recife 4–1 ABC · Serie B

4–1Historical match

ABC

LDLLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sport Recife won 4–1.

Shots
189
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
2.641.28
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sport Recife beat ABC 4–1. Recorded in this match (Sport Recife – ABC): shots 18–9, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 2.64–1.28, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

ABC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

ABC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.56 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.56 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sport Recife, ABC.

3.85 days ▲Rest daysSport Recife · ABC4.85 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSport RecifeABCBaseline
Rest days3.85 days4.85 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Sport Recife have a visible home split

weak

Sport Recife's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.8 shots/match14.1 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots9 shotsSport Recife 18 shots, ABC 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsSport Recife 7 shots, ABC 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.64 xG1.28 xGSport Recife 2.64 xG, ABC 1.28 xG
  • Possession56%44%Sport Recife 56%, ABC 44%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerSport Recife 7 corners, ABC 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls5 foulsSport Recife 10 fouls, ABC 5 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sport Recife favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · ABC in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sport Recife7 matchesABC9 matches
1.86 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/90.56 goals/match
0.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/91.89 goals/match
1.35 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/90.91 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots7/910.6 shots/match
4.57 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/93.44 shots/match
48.9% ●Possession7/946.7%
6.29 corners/match ●Corners7/93.67 corners/match
9.86 fouls/matchFouls7/915.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 29 May 2023, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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