PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Ceará 2–0 Chapecoense · Serie B

Ceará

LWWWL
2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 2–0.

Shots
1710
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
1.331.12
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ceará beat Chapecoense 2–0. Recorded in this match (Ceará – Chapecoense): shots 17–10, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 1.33–1.12, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ceará's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ceará's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ceará, Chapecoense.

5.15 days ▲Rest daysCeará · Chapecoense3.96 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCearáChapecoenseBaseline
Rest days5.15 days3.96 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots10 shotsCeará 17 shots, Chapecoense 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsCeará 7 shots, Chapecoense 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.33 xG1.12 xGCeará 1.33 xG, Chapecoense 1.12 xG
  • Possession50%50%Ceará 50%, Chapecoense 50%
  • Corners4 corners8 cornersCeará 4 corners, Chapecoense 8 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls17 foulsCeará 20 fouls, Chapecoense 17 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Chapecoense in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará10 matchesChapecoense10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.3 goals/match
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.33 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 14.9 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 4.9 shots/match
56.3% ●Possession10/1051.8%
3.9 corners/matchCorners10/10● 6 corners/match
17.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Jun 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCearáChapecoense
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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