PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Botafogo-SP 0–2 Ituano · Serie B

0–2Historical match

Ituano

DLLWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ituano won 0–2.

Shots
1517
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
0.530.81
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ituano beat Botafogo-SP 2–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo-SP – Ituano): shots 15–17, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 0.53–0.81, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo-SP's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo-SP's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.82 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ituano.

4.1 days ▲Rest daysBotafogo-SP · Ituano4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBotafogo-SPItuanoBaseline
Rest days4.1 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots17 shotsBotafogo-SP 15 shots, Ituano 17 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsBotafogo-SP 1 shot, Ituano 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.53 xG0.81 xGBotafogo-SP 0.53 xG, Ituano 0.81 xG
  • Possession56%44%Botafogo-SP 56%, Ituano 44%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersBotafogo-SP 6 corners, Ituano 5 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls13 foulsBotafogo-SP 20 fouls, Ituano 13 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Ituano in 2 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP11 matchesItuano11 matches
0.82 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲ 1.09 goals/match
1.18 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111.27 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals11/110.93 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots11/1112.7 shots/match
3.64 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 3.91 shots/match
43.6%Possession11/11● 50.6%
6.73 corners/match ●Corners11/114.64 corners/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1116.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 7 Jun 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogo-SPItuano
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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