Serie B · 2023

Ceará 1–3 CRB · Serie B

Ceará

WWLWW
1–3Historical match

CRB

LLLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CRB won 1–3.

Shots
1813
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
1.172.04
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

CRB beat Ceará 3–1. Recorded in this match (Ceará – CRB): shots 18–13, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 1.17–2.04, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CRB's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CRB's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.91 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.91 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ceará, CRB.

3.92 days ▲Rest daysCeará · CRB2.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCearáCRBBaseline
Rest days3.92 days2.92 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Ceará show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Ceará's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsCeará · CRB12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCearáCRBBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against15.3 shots/match17.7 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots13 shotsCeará 18 shots, CRB 13 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsCeará 7 shots, CRB 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.17 xG2.04 xGCeará 1.17 xG, CRB 2.04 xG
  • Possession54%46%Ceará 54%, CRB 46%
  • Corners13 corners4 cornersCeará 13 corners, CRB 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls17 foulsCeará 15 fouls, CRB 17 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · CRB in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará12 matchesCRB11 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/110.91 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed12/11▲ 1.09 goals/match
1.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/111.16 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots12/1112.8 shots/match
4.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/113.45 shots/match
54.9% ●Possession12/1146.9%
4.83 corners/match ●Corners12/114.45 corners/match
17.1 fouls/matchFouls12/1116 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Jun 2023, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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