Serie B · 2023

Juventude 1–2 Tombense · Serie B

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Tombense won 1–2.

Shots
189
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
1.621.43
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Tombense beat Juventude 2–1. Recorded in this match (Juventude – Tombense): shots 18–9, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.62–1.43, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventude's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventude's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Juventude, Tombense.

3.09 days ▲Rest daysJuventude · Tombense4.97 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricJuventudeTombenseBaseline
Rest days3.09 days4.97 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Tombense show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Tombense's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsJuventude · Tombense16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJuventudeTombenseBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match16.6 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against14.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots9 shotsJuventude 18 shots, Tombense 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsJuventude 5 shots, Tombense 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.62 xG1.43 xGJuventude 1.62 xG, Tombense 1.43 xG
  • Possession65%35%Juventude 65%, Tombense 35%
  • Corners12 corners2 cornersJuventude 12 corners, Tombense 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls16 foulsJuventude 12 fouls, Tombense 16 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventude favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Tombense in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventude12 matchesTombense12 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/120.83 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed12/121.33 goals/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.53 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 16.6 shots/match
4.58 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 4.83 shots/match
53.3%Possession12/12● 54.3%
5.25 corners/matchCorners12/12● 7.5 corners/match
16.7 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 12 Jun 2023, 01:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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