PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Sampaio Correa 1–1 Ceará · Serie B

1–1Historical match

Ceará

WLWWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sampaio Correa and Ceará drew 1–1.

Shots
2412
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
2.831.16
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sampaio Corrêa and Ceará drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Sampaio Corrêa – Ceará): shots 24–12, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 2.83–1.16, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sampaio Corrêa show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sampaio Corrêa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsSampaio Corrêa · Ceará13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSampaio CorrêaCearáBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match16 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Sampaio Corrêa have a visible home split

moderate

Sampaio Corrêa's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.6 shots/match16 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots12 shotsSampaio Correa 24 shots, Ceará 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotSampaio Correa 5 shots, Ceará 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.83 xG1.16 xGSampaio Correa 2.83 xG, Ceará 1.16 xG
  • Possession51%49%Sampaio Correa 51%, Ceará 49%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersSampaio Correa 5 corners, Ceará 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls17 foulsSampaio Correa 11 fouls, Ceará 17 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sampaio Correa favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 3

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sampaio Correa13 matchesCeará13 matches
0.85 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.23 goals/match
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.31 goals/match
1.42 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/131.24 xG/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots13/1313.2 shots/match
3.69 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 4.46 shots/match
51.7%Possession13/13● 54.5%
4.46 corners/matchCorners13/13● 4.85 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1317.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Jun 2023, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSampaio CorreaCeará
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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