PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Juventude 2–1 Ituano · Serie B

2–1Historical match

Ituano

DLDDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventude won 2–1.

Shots
207
Shots on target
92
Expected goals
1.970.6
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventude beat Ituano 2–1. Recorded in this match (Juventude – Ituano): shots 20–7, shots on target 9–2, expected goals 1.97–0.6, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ituano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ituano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.89 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Juventude have a visible home split

moderate

Juventude's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots7 shotsJuventude 20 shots, Ituano 7 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots2 shotsJuventude 9 shots, Ituano 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.97 xG0.6 xGJuventude 1.97 xG, Ituano 0.6 xG
  • Possession61%39%Juventude 61%, Ituano 39%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersJuventude 3 corners, Ituano 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls15 foulsJuventude 13 fouls, Ituano 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Juventude
1Draws
0Ituano
Ituano — Juventude · Serie B1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventude favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Ituano in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventude35 matchesItuano35 matches
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored35/350.89 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed35/351.06 goals/match
1.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals34/341 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots34/3412.7 shots/match
3.88 shots/matchShots on target34/343.71 shots/match
52.5% ●Possession34/3450.9%
4.76 corners/matchCorners34/34● 5.53 corners/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls34/3417.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Nov 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJuventudeItuano
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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