PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Ituano 1–3 Novorizontino · Serie B

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Novorizontino won 1–3.

Shots
724
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.572.81
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Novorizontino beat Ituano 3–1. Recorded in this match (Ituano – Novorizontino): shots 7–24, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.57–2.81, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Novorizontino show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Novorizontino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.33 shots/match ▲ShotsItuano · Novorizontino16.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricItuanoNovorizontinoBaseline
Shots9.33 shots/match16.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against18.3 shots/match15.3 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots24 shotsItuano 7 shots, Novorizontino 24 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsItuano 5 shots, Novorizontino 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.57 xG2.81 xGItuano 1.57 xG, Novorizontino 2.81 xG
  • Possession42%58%Ituano 42%, Novorizontino 58%
  • Corners1 corner12 cornersItuano 1 corner, Novorizontino 12 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls16 foulsItuano 10 fouls, Novorizontino 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ituano
0Draws
2Novorizontino
Novorizontino — Ituano · Serie B2–0
Ituano — Novorizontino · Serie B0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ituano favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Novorizontino in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ituano3 matchesNovorizontino3 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 1.67 goals/match
2.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.46 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.49 xG/match
9.33 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 16.3 shots/match
4.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/34 shots/match
46% ●Possession3/345.7%
4.33 corners/matchCorners3/3● 6 corners/match
9.33 fouls/matchFouls3/316 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 May 2024, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsItuanoNovorizontino
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headItuano — Novorizontino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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