PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Santos 4–1 Guarani · Serie B

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Santos won 4–1.

Shots
149
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.451.03
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santos beat Guarani 4–1. Recorded in this match (Santos – Guarani): shots 14–9, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.45–1.03, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Guarani show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Guarani's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsSantos · Guarani21.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSantosGuaraniBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match21.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against11.7 shots/match10 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Guarani have recorded the higher season possession share.

51%PossessionSantos · Guarani● 59.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSantosGuaraniBaseline
Possession51%59.7%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots9 shotsSantos 14 shots, Guarani 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsSantos 7 shots, Guarani 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.45 xG1.03 xGSantos 1.45 xG, Guarani 1.03 xG
  • Possession55%45%Santos 55%, Guarani 45%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersSantos 3 corners, Guarani 7 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsSantos 13 fouls, Guarani 11 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Santos favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Guarani in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Santos3 matchesGuarani3 matches
2.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/30.33 goals/match
0.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/32.33 goals/match
1.52 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.36 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 21.3 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/35.33 shots/match
51%Possession3/3● 59.7%
3.67 corners/matchCorners3/3● 9.33 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls3/311.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 7 May 2024, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSantosGuarani
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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