PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

América Mineiro 3–1 Vila Nova FC · Serie B

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

América Mineiro won 3–1.

Shots
1810
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.550.72
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

América Mineiro beat Vila Nova FC 3–1. Recorded in this match (América Mineiro – Vila Nova FC): shots 18–10, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.55–0.72, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

América Mineiro show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

América Mineiro's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAmérica Mineiro · Vila Nova FC12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAmérica MineiroVila Nova FCBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against8 shots/match15.5 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

América Mineiro have recorded the higher season possession share.

63.8% ●PossessionAmérica Mineiro · Vila Nova FC49.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAmérica MineiroVila Nova FCBaseline
Possession63.8%49.5%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots10 shotsAmérica Mineiro 18 shots, Vila Nova FC 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsAmérica Mineiro 6 shots, Vila Nova FC 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.55 xG0.72 xGAmérica Mineiro 1.55 xG, Vila Nova FC 0.72 xG
  • Possession54%46%América Mineiro 54%, Vila Nova FC 46%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersAmérica Mineiro 5 corners, Vila Nova FC 2 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls12 foulsAmérica Mineiro 19 fouls, Vila Nova FC 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América Mineiro favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Vila Nova FC in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América Mineiro4 matchesVila Nova FC4 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41 goal/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
1.18 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/40.89 xG/match
15.5 shots/match ▲Shots4/412.3 shots/match
5.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/43.25 shots/match
63.8% ●Possession4/449.5%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners4/45 corners/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls4/414.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 9 May 2024, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAmérica MineiroVila Nova FC
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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