PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Mirassol 2–1 Paysandu · Serie B

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Mirassol won 2–1.

Shots
917
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.470.45
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

Mirassol beat Paysandu SC 2–1. Recorded in this match (Mirassol – Paysandu SC): shots 9–17, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.47–0.45, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Mirassol show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Mirassol's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsMirassol · Paysandu SC12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMirassolPaysandu SCBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match10 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots17 shotsMirassol 9 shots, Paysandu 17 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsMirassol 3 shots, Paysandu 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.47 xG0.45 xGMirassol 1.47 xG, Paysandu 0.45 xG
  • Possession32%68%Mirassol 32%, Paysandu 68%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersMirassol 2 corners, Paysandu 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls18 foulsMirassol 16 fouls, Paysandu 18 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mirassol favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Paysandu in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mirassol4 matchesPaysandu4 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/40.5 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.32 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/40.73 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 12.8 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target4/44.25 shots/match
49.3%Possession4/4● 53.8%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners4/45 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls4/415.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 May 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMirassolPaysandu
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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