PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Coritiba 1–0 Guarani · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Coritiba won 1–0.

Shots
109
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
0.680.49
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Coritiba beat Guarani 1–0. Recorded in this match (Coritiba – Guarani): shots 10–9, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 0.68–0.49, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Guarani have a visible away split

weak

Guarani's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match16.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Coritiba, Guarani.

3.02 days ▲Rest daysCoritiba · Guarani3.19 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCoritibaGuaraniBaseline
Rest days3.02 days3.19 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots9 shotsCoritiba 10 shots, Guarani 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsCoritiba 4 shots, Guarani 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.68 xG0.49 xGCoritiba 0.68 xG, Guarani 0.49 xG
  • Possession39%61%Coritiba 39%, Guarani 61%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersCoritiba 4 corners, Guarani 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsCoritiba 12 fouls, Guarani 14 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Coritiba favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Guarani in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Coritiba5 matchesGuarani5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.03 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 16.4 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54.4 shots/match
51.6%Possession5/5● 56.8%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/5● 7.6 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls5/514.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 15 May 2024, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCoritibaGuarani
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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