PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Ituano 1–0 Sport Recife · Serie B

Ituano

LLLL
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ituano won 1–0.

Shots
1021
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
0.851.48
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ituano beat Sport Recife 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ituano – Sport Recife): shots 10–21, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.85–1.48, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sport Recife show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sport Recife's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsItuano · Sport Recife15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricItuanoSport RecifeBaseline
Shots9 shots/match15.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against18.8 shots/match14 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sport Recife have recorded the higher season possession share.

44%PossessionItuano · Sport Recife● 55.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricItuanoSport RecifeBaseline
Possession44%55.4%50.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots21 shotsItuano 10 shots, Sport Recife 21 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsItuano 2 shots, Sport Recife 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.85 xG1.48 xGItuano 0.85 xG, Sport Recife 1.48 xG
  • Possession30%70%Ituano 30%, Sport Recife 70%
  • Corners2 corners9 cornersItuano 2 corners, Sport Recife 9 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls9 foulsItuano 9 fouls, Sport Recife 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ituano
1Draws
0Sport Recife
Sport Recife — Ituano · Serie B1–2
Ituano — Sport Recife · Serie B1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ituano favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Sport Recife in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ituano5 matchesSport Recife5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 0.8 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.9 xG/match
9 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 15.2 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 4.6 shots/match
44%Possession5/5● 55.4%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/5● 6.6 corners/match
9 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 16 May 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsItuanoSport Recife
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headItuano — Sport Recife
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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