PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Ituano 2–0 Ponte Preta · Serie B

Ituano

LLLWL
2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ituano won 2–0.

Shots
158
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.61.97
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ituano beat Ponte Preta 2–0. Recorded in this match (Ituano – Ponte Preta): shots 15–8, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.6–1.97, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ituano have a visible home split

weak

Ituano's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match9.14 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Ponte Preta's recent record differs from the season

weak

Ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.86 goals/match0.93 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots8 shotsItuano 15 shots, Ponte Preta 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsItuano 4 shots, Ponte Preta 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.6 xG1.97 xGItuano 1.6 xG, Ponte Preta 1.97 xG
  • Possession37%63%Ituano 37%, Ponte Preta 63%
  • Corners1 corner4 cornersItuano 1 corner, Ponte Preta 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls16 foulsItuano 14 fouls, Ponte Preta 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ituano
1Draws
1Ponte Preta
Ponte Preta — Ituano · Serie B0–0
Ituano — Ponte Preta · Serie B0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ituano favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Ponte Preta in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ituano7 matchesPonte Preta7 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 0.86 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.18 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.07 xG/match
9.14 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 10.3 shots/match
2.86 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 3.29 shots/match
42%Possession7/7● 46.1%
3.43 corners/matchCorners7/7● 4.71 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls7/713.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 May 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsItuanoPonte Preta
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headItuano — Ponte Preta
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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