PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Santos 1–2 Botafogo-SP · Serie B

Santos

WLWWL
1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo-SP won 1–2.

Shots
2210
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
2.430.28
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo-SP beat Santos 2–1. Recorded in this match (Santos – Botafogo-SP): shots 22–10, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 2.43–0.28, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Santos's recent record differs from the season

weak

Santos's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2 goals/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots10 shotsSantos 22 shots, Botafogo-SP 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsSantos 3 shots, Botafogo-SP 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.43 xG0.28 xGSantos 2.43 xG, Botafogo-SP 0.28 xG
  • Possession59%41%Santos 59%, Botafogo-SP 41%
  • Corners8 corners1 cornerSantos 8 corners, Botafogo-SP 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsSantos 11 fouls, Botafogo-SP 9 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Santos favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo-SP in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Santos8 matchesBotafogo-SP8 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/80.5 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.25 goals/match
1.32 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/80.86 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots8/812.6 shots/match
5.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83.13 shots/match
53.3% ●Possession8/849.8%
5.88 corners/match ●Corners8/84.75 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls8/814.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 4 Jun 2024, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSantosBotafogo-SP
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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