Serie B · 2024

Sport Recife 1–2 Novorizontino · Serie B

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Novorizontino won 1–2.

Shots
178
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
0.841.28
Possession
72%28%

Full time

What the match recorded

Novorizontino beat Sport Recife 2–1. Recorded in this match (Sport Recife – Novorizontino): shots 17–8, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.84–1.28, possession 72%–28%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sport Recife's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sport Recife's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sport Recife.

3.9 days ▲Rest daysSport Recife · Novorizontino5.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSport RecifeNovorizontinoBaseline
Rest days3.9 days5.92 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sport Recife have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.4% ●PossessionSport Recife · Novorizontino44.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSport RecifeNovorizontinoBaseline
Possession55.4%44.3%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots8 shotsSport Recife 17 shots, Novorizontino 8 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsSport Recife 2 shots, Novorizontino 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.84 xG1.28 xGSport Recife 0.84 xG, Novorizontino 1.28 xG
  • Possession72%28%Sport Recife 72%, Novorizontino 28%
  • Corners10 corners4 cornersSport Recife 10 corners, Novorizontino 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls17 foulsSport Recife 12 fouls, Novorizontino 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Sport Recife
1Draws
0Novorizontino
Sport Recife — Novorizontino · Serie B1–0
Novorizontino — Sport Recife · Serie B0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sport Recife favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Novorizontino in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sport Recife11 matchesNovorizontino12 matches
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/121.08 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed11/121.08 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals11/121.24 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots11/1214.1 shots/match
3.64 shots/matchShots on target11/12▲ 4.42 shots/match
55.4% ●Possession11/1244.3%
6.91 corners/match ●Corners11/124.58 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls11/1216.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 25 Jun 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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