PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Ponte Preta 3–1 Ceará · Serie B

3–1Historical match

Ceará

WWLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ponte Preta won 3–1.

Shots
1211
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.791.23
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ponte Preta beat Ceará 3–1. Recorded in this match (Ponte Preta – Ceará): shots 12–11, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.79–1.23, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ceará's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ceará's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots11 shotsPonte Preta 12 shots, Ceará 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsPonte Preta 7 shots, Ceará 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.79 xG1.23 xGPonte Preta 1.79 xG, Ceará 1.23 xG
  • Possession38%62%Ponte Preta 38%, Ceará 62%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersPonte Preta 4 corners, Ceará 6 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls9 foulsPonte Preta 16 fouls, Ceará 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ponte Preta
2Draws
0Ceará
Ceará — Ponte Preta · Serie B1–1
Ponte Preta — Ceará · Serie B0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ponte Preta favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ponte Preta12 matchesCeará12 matches
1.17 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.69 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 14.3 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on target12/124.25 shots/match
47.1%Possession12/12● 50.2%
4.42 corners/matchCorners12/12● 7.42 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls12/1215.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 26 Jun 2024, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPonte PretaCeará
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headPonte Preta — Ceará
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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