Serie B · 2024

Santos 1–0 Chapecoense · Serie B

Santos

LLLWD
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Santos won 1–0.

Shots
2422
Shots on target
117
Expected goals
1.820.92
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santos beat Chapecoense 1–0. Recorded in this match (Santos – Chapecoense): shots 24–22, shots on target 11–7, expected goals 1.82–0.92, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Santos's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Santos's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.54 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Santos show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Santos's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsSantos · Chapecoense12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSantosChapecoenseBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match17.1 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Santos have a visible home split

moderate

Santos's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.5 shots/match15.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots22 shotsSantos 24 shots, Chapecoense 22 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots7 shotsSantos 11 shots, Chapecoense 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.82 xG0.92 xGSantos 1.82 xG, Chapecoense 0.92 xG
  • Possession58%42%Santos 58%, Chapecoense 42%
  • Corners9 corners7 cornersSantos 9 corners, Chapecoense 7 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsSantos 16 fouls, Chapecoense 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Santos favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Chapecoense in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Santos13 matchesChapecoense13 matches
1.54 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/130.77 goals/match
0.85 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/130.92 goals/match
1.29 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/131.17 xG/match
15.2 shots/match ▲Shots13/1312.8 shots/match
5.31 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/133.77 shots/match
54.1% ●Possession13/1342.7%
6.15 corners/match ●Corners13/133.77 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 2 Jul 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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