PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Mirassol 1–0 Operário-PR · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Mirassol won 1–0.

Shots
911
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.820.53
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Mirassol beat Operário-PR 1–0. Recorded in this match (Mirassol – Operário-PR): shots 9–11, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.82–0.53, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Mirassol, Operário-PR.

3.88 days ▲Rest daysMirassol · Operário-PR3.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMirassolOperário-PRBaseline
Rest days3.88 days3.92 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Mirassol show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Mirassol's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsMirassol · Operário-PR13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMirassolOperário-PRBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots11 shotsMirassol 9 shots, Operário-PR 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsMirassol 3 shots, Operário-PR 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.82 xG0.53 xGMirassol 0.82 xG, Operário-PR 0.53 xG
  • Possession38%62%Mirassol 38%, Operário-PR 62%
  • Corners2 corners8 cornersMirassol 2 corners, Operário-PR 8 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls15 foulsMirassol 13 fouls, Operário-PR 15 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mirassol favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Operário-PR in 7

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mirassol18 matchesOperário-PR17 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored18/170.65 goals/match
0.78 goals/matchGoals allowed18/17▲ 0.59 goals/match
1.29 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/170.94 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots18/17▲ 13.4 shots/match
3.72 shots/matchShots on target18/17▲ 4.06 shots/match
50%Possession18/17● 54.8%
4.78 corners/matchCorners18/17● 5.24 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls18/1712.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Jul 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMirassolOperário-PR
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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