PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Vila Nova FC 2–2 Paysandu · Serie B

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vila Nova FC and Paysandu drew 2–2.

Shots
156
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.81.09
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vila Nova FC and Paysandu SC drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Vila Nova FC – Paysandu SC): shots 15–6, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.8–1.09, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paysandu SC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Paysandu SC's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots6 shotsVila Nova FC 15 shots, Paysandu 6 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsVila Nova FC 4 shots, Paysandu 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.8 xG1.09 xGVila Nova FC 1.8 xG, Paysandu 1.09 xG
  • Possession49%51%Vila Nova FC 49%, Paysandu 51%
  • Corners8 corners5 cornersVila Nova FC 8 corners, Paysandu 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls15 foulsVila Nova FC 14 fouls, Paysandu 15 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vila Nova FC favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Paysandu in 5 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vila Nova FC19 matchesPaysandu19 matches
1.16 goals/matchGoals scored19/191.16 goals/match
1.11 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191.16 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals19/191.14 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots19/1912.6 shots/match
3.68 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 4.16 shots/match
50%Possession19/19● 54.8%
4.74 corners/matchCorners19/19● 6.26 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls19/1916.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 6 Aug 2024, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVila Nova FCPaysandu
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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