PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Goiás 2–1 Ceará · Serie B

Goiás

LLWDL
2–1Historical match

Ceará

LWWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Goiás won 2–1.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
2.990.94
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Goiás beat Ceará 2–1. Recorded in this match (Goiás – Ceará): shots 15–11, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 2.99–0.94, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ceará's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ceará's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.6 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.6 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Goiás have a visible home split

moderate

Goiás's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsGoiás 15 shots, Ceará 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotGoiás 6 shots, Ceará 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.99 xG0.94 xGGoiás 2.99 xG, Ceará 0.94 xG
  • Possession60%40%Goiás 60%, Ceará 40%
  • Corners6 corners8 cornersGoiás 6 corners, Ceará 8 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls15 foulsGoiás 9 fouls, Ceará 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Goiás
3Draws
0Ceará
Ceará — Goiás · Serie B1–1
Ceará — Goiás · Serie A1–1
Goiás — Ceará · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Goiás favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Goiás19 matchesCeará20 matches
1.42 goals/matchGoals scored19/20▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.05 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/201.3 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals19/20▲ 1.5 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots19/20▲ 14.6 shots/match
4.16 shots/matchShots on target19/20▲ 4.7 shots/match
51.2% ●Possession19/2047.9%
4.53 corners/matchCorners19/20● 6.85 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls19/2015.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 13 Aug 2024, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGoiásCeará
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headGoiás — Ceará
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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