PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Avaí 0–2 Sport Recife · Serie B

Avaí

WWWLW
0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sport Recife won 0–2.

Shots
159
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.891.32
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sport Recife beat Avaí 2–0. Recorded in this match (Avaí – Sport Recife): shots 15–9, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.89–1.32, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sport Recife's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sport Recife's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.3 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sport Recife have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.3%PossessionAvaí · Sport Recife● 57%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAvaíSport RecifeBaseline
Possession48.3%57%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots9 shotsAvaí 15 shots, Sport Recife 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsAvaí 2 shots, Sport Recife 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.89 xG1.32 xGAvaí 0.89 xG, Sport Recife 1.32 xG
  • Possession49%51%Avaí 49%, Sport Recife 51%
  • Corners8 corners8 cornersAvaí 8 corners, Sport Recife 8 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls18 foulsAvaí 11 fouls, Sport Recife 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Avaí
1Draws
1Sport Recife
Sport Recife — Avaí · Serie B1–2
Avaí — Sport Recife · Serie B2–2
Sport Recife — Avaí · Serie B2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Avaí favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Sport Recife in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Avaí25 matchesSport Recife23 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored25/23▲ 1.3 goals/match
0.76 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/231.04 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals25/23▲ 1.34 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots25/23▲ 13.1 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target25/23▲ 3.96 shots/match
48.3%Possession25/23● 57%
4.96 corners/matchCorners25/23● 6.13 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls25/2313.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Sept 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAvaíSport Recife
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headAvaí — Sport Recife
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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