PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Operário-PR 2–1 Coritiba · Serie B

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Operário-PR won 2–1.

Shots
168
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.060.72
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Operário-PR beat Coritiba 2–1. Recorded in this match (Operário-PR – Coritiba): shots 16–8, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.06–0.72, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Operário-PR's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Operário-PR's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.8 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.8 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Coritiba have a visible away split

moderate

Coritiba's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots8 shotsOperário-PR 16 shots, Coritiba 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsOperário-PR 5 shots, Coritiba 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.06 xG0.72 xGOperário-PR 1.06 xG, Coritiba 0.72 xG
  • Possession66%34%Operário-PR 66%, Coritiba 34%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersOperário-PR 9 corners, Coritiba 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls23 foulsOperário-PR 14 fouls, Coritiba 23 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Operário-PR
0Draws
1Coritiba
Coritiba — Operário-PR · Serie B3–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Operário-PR favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Coritiba in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Operário-PR25 matchesCoritiba26 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored25/26▲ 0.92 goals/match
0.76 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/261 goal/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals25/26▲ 1.17 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots25/2613.9 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target25/26▲ 4.81 shots/match
55.5% ●Possession25/2649%
5.56 corners/matchCorners25/26● 5.73 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls25/2614.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Sept 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOperário-PRCoritiba
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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