Serie B · 2024

Ituano 0–1 Coritiba · Serie B

Ituano

WLWWL
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Coritiba won 0–1.

Shots
1812
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
2.070.67
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Coritiba beat Ituano 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ituano – Coritiba): shots 18–12, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 2.07–0.67, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Coritiba's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Coritiba's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.02 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ituano, Coritiba.

3.85 days ▲Rest daysItuano · Coritiba2.85 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricItuanoCoritibaBaseline
Rest days3.85 days2.85 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Coritiba show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Coritiba's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsItuano · Coritiba13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricItuanoCoritibaBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against17 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots12 shotsItuano 18 shots, Coritiba 12 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsItuano 2 shots, Coritiba 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.07 xG0.67 xGItuano 2.07 xG, Coritiba 0.67 xG
  • Possession49%51%Ituano 49%, Coritiba 51%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersItuano 9 corners, Coritiba 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsItuano 11 fouls, Coritiba 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ituano
0Draws
1Coritiba
Coritiba — Ituano · Serie B4–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ituano favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Coritiba in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ituano28 matchesCoritiba28 matches
1.18 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/281 goal/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 0.96 goals/match
1.22 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/281.15 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 13.8 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 4.75 shots/match
43.4%Possession28/28● 49.3%
4.32 corners/matchCorners28/28● 5.61 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls28/2814.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Sept 2024, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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