PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Operário-PR 1–0 Guarani · Serie B

1–0Historical match

Guarani

DWLLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Operário-PR won 1–0.

Shots
1710
Shots on target
84
Expected goals
2.171.18
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Operário-PR beat Guarani 1–0. Recorded in this match (Operário-PR – Guarani): shots 17–10, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 2.17–1.18, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Guarani have a visible away split

moderate

Guarani's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Operário-PR's recent record differs from the season

weak

Operário-PR's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.81 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.81 goals/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots10 shotsOperário-PR 17 shots, Guarani 10 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsOperário-PR 8 shots, Guarani 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.17 xG1.18 xGOperário-PR 2.17 xG, Guarani 1.18 xG
  • Possession43%57%Operário-PR 43%, Guarani 57%
  • Corners7 corners7 cornersOperário-PR 7 corners, Guarani 7 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls13 foulsOperário-PR 15 fouls, Guarani 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Operário-PR
0Draws
0Guarani
Guarani — Operário-PR · Serie B0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Operário-PR favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Guarani in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Operário-PR27 matchesGuarani27 matches
0.81 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1 goal/match
0.78 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.44 goals/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 1.21 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots27/2714.4 shots/match
4.26 shots/matchShots on target27/274.26 shots/match
54.3% ●Possession27/2749.4%
5.44 corners/matchCorners27/27● 6.22 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls27/2714.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 25 Sept 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOperário-PRGuarani
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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