PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Guarani 0–0 Avaí · Serie B

Guarani

WLLWL
0–0Historical match

Avaí

WLLWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Guarani and Avaí drew 0–0.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
0.690.74
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Guarani and Avaí drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Guarani – Avaí): shots 15–11, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 0.69–0.74, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Guarani's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Guarani's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.96 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.96 goals/match0.97 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Guarani have a visible home split

moderate

Guarani's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.6 shots/match14.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsGuarani 15 shots, Avaí 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotGuarani 3 shots, Avaí 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.69 xG0.74 xGGuarani 0.69 xG, Avaí 0.74 xG
  • Possession49%51%Guarani 49%, Avaí 51%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersGuarani 6 corners, Avaí 7 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls15 foulsGuarani 8 fouls, Avaí 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Guarani
0Draws
1Avaí
Avaí — Guarani · Serie B3–2
Avaí — Guarani · Serie B1–2
Guarani — Avaí · Serie B4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Guarani favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Avaí in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Guarani28 matchesAvaí29 matches
0.96 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/290.79 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed28/29▲ 0.76 goals/match
1.2 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/291.13 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots28/2912.2 shots/match
4.21 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/293.28 shots/match
49.4% ●Possession28/2948.4%
6.21 corners/match ●Corners28/295.1 corners/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls28/2913.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 1 Oct 2024, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGuaraniAvaí
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headGuarani — Avaí
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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