Serie B · 2024

Goiás 1–0 Guarani · Serie B

Goiás

LDWWW
1–0Historical match

Guarani

LWWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Goiás won 1–0.

Shots
721
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
1.182.08
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Goiás beat Guarani 1–0. Recorded in this match (Goiás – Guarani): shots 7–21, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.18–2.08, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Goiás's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Goiás's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.43 goals/match1.03 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Goiás, Guarani.

3.92 days ▲Rest daysGoiás · Guarani3.81 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricGoiásGuaraniBaseline
Rest days3.92 days3.81 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Goiás have a visible home split

moderate

Goiás's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match13 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots21 shotsGoiás 7 shots, Guarani 21 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsGoiás 3 shots, Guarani 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.18 xG2.08 xGGoiás 1.18 xG, Guarani 2.08 xG
  • Possession43%57%Goiás 43%, Guarani 57%
  • Corners4 corners9 cornersGoiás 4 corners, Guarani 9 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls10 foulsGoiás 15 fouls, Guarani 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Goiás
0Draws
0Guarani
Guarani — Goiás · Serie B2–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Goiás favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Guarani in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Goiás35 matchesGuarani35 matches
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored35/350.91 goals/match
0.91 goals/match ▲Goals allowed35/351.46 goals/match
1.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/351.18 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots34/35▲ 14.3 shots/match
4.24 shots/matchShots on target34/354.26 shots/match
50% ●Possession34/3549.6%
5.21 corners/matchCorners34/35● 6 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls34/3513.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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