PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

CRB 2–3 Athletic Club · Serie B

CRB

DLD
2–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Athletic Club won 2–3.

Shots
912
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.191.85
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletic Club beat CRB 3–2. Recorded in this match (CRB – Athletic Club): shots 9–12, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.19–1.85, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CRB show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

CRB's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsCRB · Athletic Club8.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCRBAthletic ClubBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match8.67 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against15.3 shots/match19.3 shots/match15.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

CRB have recorded the higher season possession share.

54% ●PossessionCRB · Athletic Club39%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCRBAthletic ClubBaseline
Possession54%39%51.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots12 shotsCRB 9 shots, Athletic Club 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsCRB 4 shots, Athletic Club 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.19 xG1.85 xGCRB 1.19 xG, Athletic Club 1.85 xG
  • Possession48%52%CRB 48%, Athletic Club 52%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersCRB 1 corner, Athletic Club 6 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls21 foulsCRB 15 fouls, Athletic Club 21 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2CRB
0Draws
0Athletic Club
CRB — Athletic Club · Serie B1–0
Athletic Club — CRB · Serie B1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CRB favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CRB4 matchesAthletic Club4 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 1.75 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.41 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.06 xG/match
15.7 shots/match ▲Shots3/38.67 shots/match
4.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/33.33 shots/match
54% ●Possession3/339%
2.33 corners/matchCorners3/3● 4 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls3/318.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 13 Apr 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCRBAthletic Club
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headCRB — Athletic Club
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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