PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Sport Recife 2–0 Ceará · Serie B

2–0Full-time analysis

Ceará

DWWDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sport Recife won 2–0.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
1.990.53
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sport Recife beat Ceará 2–0. Recorded in this match (Sport Recife – Ceará): shots 16–10, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 1.99–0.53, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sport Recife's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sport Recife's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsSport Recife 16 shots, Ceará 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotSport Recife 5 shots, Ceará 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.99 xG0.53 xGSport Recife 1.99 xG, Ceará 0.53 xG
  • Possession45%55%Sport Recife 45%, Ceará 55%
  • Corners9 corners11 cornersSport Recife 9 corners, Ceará 11 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls16 foulsSport Recife 13 fouls, Ceará 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Sport Recife
2Draws
2Ceará
Sport Recife — Ceará · Serie A1–1
Ceará — Sport Recife · Serie A2–0
Sport Recife — Ceará · Serie B2–1
Ceará — Sport Recife · Serie B0–0
Ceará — Sport Recife · Serie B2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sport Recife favored in 2 of 4 directional metrics · Ceará in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sport Recife7 matchesCeará7 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/71.14 goals/match
0.57 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71 goal/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 4 May 2026, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingShare of matches scored in rankingFewest goals allowed per match ranking
TeamsSport RecifeCeará
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headSport Recife — Ceará
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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