PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Operário-PR 2–1 Juventude · Serie B

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Operário-PR won 2–1.

Shots
1312
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
2.860.65
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Operário-PR beat Juventude 2–1. Recorded in this match (Operário-PR – Juventude): shots 13–12, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 2.86–0.65, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventude's recent record differs from the season

weak

Juventude's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.83 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots12 shotsOperário-PR 13 shots, Juventude 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsOperário-PR 3 shots, Juventude 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.86 xG0.65 xGOperário-PR 2.86 xG, Juventude 0.65 xG
  • Possession51%49%Operário-PR 51%, Juventude 49%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersOperário-PR 4 corners, Juventude 4 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls17 foulsOperário-PR 17 fouls, Juventude 17 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Operário-PR favored in 2 of 4 directional metrics · Juventude in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Operário-PR12 matchesJuventude12 matches
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/120.83 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 0.67 goals/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 Jun 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingShare of matches scored in rankingFewest goals allowed per match ranking
TeamsOperário-PRJuventude
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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