PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Sport Recife 1–1 Cuiabá · Serie B

1–1Full-time analysis

Cuiabá

DWDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sport Recife and Cuiabá drew 1–1.

Shots
1710
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.650.63
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sport Recife and Cuiabá drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Sport Recife – Cuiabá): shots 17–10, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.65–0.63, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Cuiabá.

4.96 days ▲Rest daysSport Recife · Cuiabá3.96 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSport RecifeCuiabáBaseline
Rest days4.96 days3.96 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots10 shotsSport Recife 17 shots, Cuiabá 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsSport Recife 3 shots, Cuiabá 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.65 xG0.63 xGSport Recife 0.65 xG, Cuiabá 0.63 xG
  • Possession68%32%Sport Recife 68%, Cuiabá 32%
  • Corners8 corners11 cornersSport Recife 8 corners, Cuiabá 11 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsSport Recife 11 fouls, Cuiabá 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Sport Recife
1Draws
0Cuiabá
Cuiabá — Sport Recife · Serie B0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sport Recife favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Cuiabá in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sport Recife20 matchesCuiabá20 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/200.75 goals/match
0.95 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 0.7 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals8/91.22 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots8/913.7 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target8/9▲ 4.56 shots/match
54.1% ●Possession8/948.2%
6 corners/matchCorners8/9● 6.44 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls8/914.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 28 Jul 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSport RecifeCuiabá
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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