PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Dinamo Makhachkala 1–3 CSKA Moscow · Premier League

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

CSKA Moscow won 1–3.

Shots
910
Shots on target
25
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

CSKA Moscow beat Dinamo Makhachkala 3–1. Recorded in this match (Dinamo Makhachkala – CSKA Moscow): shots 9–10, shots on target 2–5, possession 48%–52%, corners 4–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CSKA Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CSKA Moscow's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.67 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Dinamo Makhachkala have a visible home split

weak

Dinamo Makhachkala's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots10 shotsDinamo Makhachkala 9 shots, CSKA Moscow 10 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsDinamo Makhachkala 2 shots, CSKA Moscow 5 shots
  • Possession48%52%Dinamo Makhachkala 48%, CSKA Moscow 52%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersDinamo Makhachkala 4 corners, CSKA Moscow 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsDinamo Makhachkala 12 fouls, CSKA Moscow 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsDinamo Makhachkala 3 cards, CSKA Moscow 4 cards
  • Passes395 passes429 passesDinamo Makhachkala 395 passes, CSKA Moscow 429 passes
  • Pass accuracy78.7%77.9%Dinamo Makhachkala 78.7%, CSKA Moscow 77.9%
  • Shots inside box5 shots6 shotsDinamo Makhachkala 5 shots, CSKA Moscow 6 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks2 blocksDinamo Makhachkala 3 blocks, CSKA Moscow 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves1 saveDinamo Makhachkala 3 saves, CSKA Moscow 1 save
  • Offsides5 offsides1 offsideDinamo Makhachkala 5 offsides, CSKA Moscow 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Dinamo Makhachkala
0Draws
4CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow — Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier League3–1
CSKA Moscow — Dinamo Makhachkala · Russian Cup2–1
Dinamo Makhachkala — CSKA Moscow · Premier League0–1
Dinamo Makhachkala — CSKA Moscow · Russian Cup1–0
CSKA Moscow — Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Dinamo Makhachkala favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · CSKA Moscow in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Dinamo Makhachkala9 matchesCSKA Moscow9 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored9/91.67 goals/match
1.78 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 1 goal/match
12.3 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 14.7 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 5.11 shots/match
45.1%Possession9/9● 51.8%
4.11 corners/matchCorners9/9● 4.33 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls9/911.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 17 Sept 2026, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsDinamo MakhachkalaCSKA Moscow
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headDinamo Makhachkala — CSKA Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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