PitchMath
Primera División · 2022

Palestino 1–1 Ñublense · Primera División

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palestino and Ñublense drew 1–1.

Shots
1118
Shots on target
35
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palestino and Ñublense drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Palestino – Ñublense): shots 11–18, shots on target 3–5, possession 41%–59%, corners 2–6. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Palestino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Palestino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Ñublense have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.3%PossessionPalestino · Ñublense● 52.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPalestinoÑublenseBaseline
Possession44.3%52.9%50.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots18 shotsPalestino 11 shots, Ñublense 18 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsPalestino 3 shots, Ñublense 5 shots
  • Possession41%59%Palestino 41%, Ñublense 59%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersPalestino 2 corners, Ñublense 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls6 foulsPalestino 14 fouls, Ñublense 6 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Palestino favored in 2 of 9 directional metrics · Ñublense in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Palestino9 matchesÑublense9 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 0.89 goals/match
10.9 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 14.7 shots/match
3.22 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 4.78 shots/match
44.3%Possession9/9● 52.9%
4.78 corners/match ●Corners9/93.44 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls9/910.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Apr 2022, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsPalestinoÑublense
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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