PitchMath
Primera División · 2022

Curicó Unido 3–2 Universidad Católica · Primera División

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Curicó Unido won 3–2.

Shots
1914
Shots on target
65
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Curicó Unido beat Universidad Católica 3–2. Recorded in this match (Curicó Unido – Universidad Católica): shots 19–14, shots on target 6–5, possession 43%–57%, corners 6–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Universidad Católica's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Universidad Católica's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.35 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.35 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Universidad Católica show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Universidad Católica's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsCuricó Unido · Universidad Católica13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCuricó UnidoUniversidad CatólicaBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Universidad Católica have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.8%PossessionCuricó Unido · Universidad Católica● 56.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCuricó UnidoUniversidad CatólicaBaseline
Possession47.8%56.7%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots14 shotsCuricó Unido 19 shots, Universidad Católica 14 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsCuricó Unido 6 shots, Universidad Católica 5 shots
  • Possession43%57%Curicó Unido 43%, Universidad Católica 57%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersCuricó Unido 6 corners, Universidad Católica 4 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls10 foulsCuricó Unido 6 fouls, Universidad Católica 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Curicó Unido
0Draws
1Universidad Católica
Universidad Católica — Curicó Unido · Primera División1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Curicó Unido favored in 4 of 9 directional metrics · Universidad Católica in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Curicó Unido18 matchesUniversidad Católica17 matches
1.89 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/171.35 goals/match
0.94 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/171.59 goals/match
13.4 shots/matchShots18/1713.3 shots/match
4.89 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/174.06 shots/match
47.8%Possession18/17● 56.7%
4.11 corners/matchCorners18/17● 4.71 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls18/1713.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 18 Jul 2022, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsCuricó UnidoUniversidad Católica
CompetitionPrimera DivisiónPrimera División 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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