PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Corinthians 1–1 São Paulo · Serie A

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Corinthians and São Paulo drew 1–1.

Shots
1314
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
0.581.12
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Corinthians and São Paulo drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Corinthians – São Paulo): shots 13–14, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 0.58–1.12, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Corinthians's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Corinthians's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.57 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Corinthians show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Corinthians's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsCorinthians · São Paulo13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCorinthiansSão PauloBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13.9 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots14 shotsCorinthians 13 shots, São Paulo 14 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsCorinthians 5 shots, São Paulo 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.58 xG1.12 xGCorinthians 0.58 xG, São Paulo 1.12 xG
  • Possession55%45%Corinthians 55%, São Paulo 45%
  • Corners8 corners8 cornersCorinthians 8 corners, São Paulo 8 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsCorinthians 11 fouls, São Paulo 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Corinthians favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · São Paulo in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Corinthians7 matchesSão Paulo7 matches
1.57 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.71 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.14 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.31 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 13.9 shots/match
4.43 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 5.29 shots/match
51.4%Possession7/7● 55.6%
5.43 corners/matchCorners7/7● 6.57 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls7/714.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 May 2022, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCorinthiansSão Paulo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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