PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

São Paulo 2–2 Ceará · Serie A

2–2Historical match

Ceará

LLLDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

São Paulo and Ceará drew 2–2.

Shots
157
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.020.96
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

São Paulo and Ceará drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (São Paulo – Ceará): shots 15–7, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.02–0.96, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ceará's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ceará's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots7 shotsSão Paulo 15 shots, Ceará 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsSão Paulo 5 shots, Ceará 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.02 xG0.96 xGSão Paulo 1.02 xG, Ceará 0.96 xG
  • Possession51%49%São Paulo 51%, Ceará 49%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersSão Paulo 8 corners, Ceará 3 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls10 foulsSão Paulo 19 fouls, Ceará 10 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Paulo favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Paulo8 matchesCeará7 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/71.14 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/71.57 goals/match
1.27 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/71.02 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots8/714.3 shots/match
5.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/74.71 shots/match
55% ●Possession8/751.9%
6.75 corners/match ●Corners8/75.57 corners/match
14.9 fouls/matchFouls8/712.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 May 2022, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSão PauloCeará
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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