PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Athletico 2–1 Avaí · Serie A

2–1Historical match

Avaí

LWDWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Athletico won 2–1.

Shots
129
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.441.92
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletico beat Avaí 2–1. Recorded in this match (Athletico – Avaí): shots 12–9, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.44–1.92, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Athletico's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletico's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.71 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Avaí have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.6%PossessionAthletico · Avaí● 52.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAthleticoAvaíBaseline
Possession43.6%52.1%50.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots9 shotsAthletico 12 shots, Avaí 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsAthletico 3 shots, Avaí 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.44 xG1.92 xGAthletico 1.44 xG, Avaí 1.92 xG
  • Possession42%58%Athletico 42%, Avaí 58%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersAthletico 5 corners, Avaí 4 corners
  • Fouls23 fouls17 foulsAthletico 23 fouls, Avaí 17 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletico favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Avaí in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletico7 matchesAvaí7 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.43 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.48 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 13 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 4.29 shots/match
43.6%Possession7/7● 52.1%
5.43 corners/match ●Corners7/74 corners/match
14.9 fouls/matchFouls7/716.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 23 May 2022, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAthleticoAvaí
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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