PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

América Mineiro 0–2 Ceará · Serie A

0–2Historical match

Ceará

DDDWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 0–2.

Shots
167
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.651.29
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ceará beat América Mineiro 2–0. Recorded in this match (América Mineiro – Ceará): shots 16–7, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.65–1.29, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

América Mineiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

América Mineiro's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ceará.

4.1 days ▲Rest daysAmérica Mineiro · Ceará4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAmérica MineiroCearáBaseline
Rest days4.1 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots7 shotsAmérica Mineiro 16 shots, Ceará 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsAmérica Mineiro 3 shots, Ceará 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.65 xG1.29 xGAmérica Mineiro 0.65 xG, Ceará 1.29 xG
  • Possession57%43%América Mineiro 57%, Ceará 43%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersAmérica Mineiro 4 corners, Ceará 4 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls20 foulsAmérica Mineiro 18 fouls, Ceará 20 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América Mineiro favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América Mineiro10 matchesCeará10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.2 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.17 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 14.8 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 5.3 shots/match
45.7%Possession10/10● 51.6%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/10● 4.9 corners/match
17.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 9 Jun 2022, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAmérica MineiroCeará
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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